Learn How to Protect Your Family From Bird Flu -- Now

Bird Flu Protection

This blog updates the ebook How to Protect Yourself and Your Loved Ones From Bird Flu. Includes news on bird flu and the coming pandemic. Information on how to enhance your immune system and resources to help you.

Tuesday, March 14, 2006

flu expert interviewed by ABC News -- frightening

Here's a link too important to pass up:

expert on bird flu dangers

Robert Webster is well-known as one of the foremost
experts on influenza. I encountered his name as soon
as I started my research months ago.

If he says that there's a 50-50 chance A/H5N1 will
become human to human contagious -- you can bet that
is science's best informed estimate.

But that's not the most important part of the story.

Notice that close to the bottom of the page, he makes
a reference to people not accepting the possibility that
50% of the world's population could die.

Wait a minute! That's not explained in the story! What
important part of the interview was left out?

Is he really predicting that if A/H5N1 becomes contagious
that half of the world's current population would die
from it?

If so, that's the scariest prediction I've seen yet. Half
the population of the world is well over 3 billion people!

Since current lethality rate of bird flu in people in
about 50%, for bird flu to kill 50% of total population
that means everybody would have to come down with it.

And it implies that the 50% lethality rate would remain
true in the human to human form of the virus -- which
is not necessarily the case.

I think I will try to email him or the reporters and
see what the truth is.

Also, please note -- he's stored 3 months worth of food
and water in his home.

Myself, I do not believe that everybody in the entire
world is going to catch bird flu. Readers of my book
How to Protect Yourself
and Your Family From Bird Flu
are learning how to
avoid -- and treat if they can't avoid -- bird flu.

WHO chart of bird flu deaths

Here's a good wrapup from the World Health
Organization (WHO) has the numbers of
cases of bird flu in people and the deaths,
by country and year.

WHO bird flu chart

It's interesting to speculate about why
there's such a range of percentages of
deaths. Every case in Cambodia and Iraq
has died.

It's possible because these are the very
poorest of these countries (although none
of them are wealthy, some are much better
off than others, and so are their
healthcare systems).

It's also possible that some cases -- and
this could apply to all countries -- just
have not been discovered.

Possibly some people are down as having died
of malaria or dengue when testing would show
bird flu.

The good news is that possibly some people
have caught it and recovered -- more than we
know about.

There's fluctuation in the lethality rate.
All 3 2003 cases in Vietnam died, but
possibly that's because in 2003 Vietnam was
far less prepared to treat bird flu cases
than they are now.

It's also possible that these numbers are just
not high enough to be statistically meaningful.